Theme 3 
Managing International Relations
Managing International Relations
Chapter 6 of Secondary 3: Managing Peace and Security: Deterrence and Diplomacy
·      Causes of Conflict between states 
·      Ways Singapore practices Deterrence
·      Ways Singapore practices Diplomacy
Chapter 1 of Secondary
4: Managing Peace and Security: Regional and International Conflict
Case Study of Iraq-Kuwait Crisis 1990
·       
Causes of tension between Iraq and
Kuwait 
·       
Reasons Iraq decided to invade Kuwait
·       
Consequences/impact of the
Iraq-Kuwait Conflict 
Transnational Terrorism 
·       
Consequences/impact of Transnational
Terrorism 
·       
Management of/solutions to
Transnational Terrorism 
Part 1: Causes of Conflict between
States
| 
Factor  | 
Explanation  | 
| 
Ideological differences  
Example: North and South Korea | 
·        
  National ideologies dictate the way nations
  are organised politically, socially and economically. 
·        
  When one nation tries to impose its ideology on other countries, this threatens the other
  nations’ belief systems and way of life.  
·        
  For example, from 1945 to 1990, communist and
  capitalist nations engaged in a variety of ongoing conflicts. 
·        
  One example would be the Korean War 
·        
  Communist North invaded the South in an effort
  to impose communism and caused fear in democratic states that communist
  nations wanted to dominate the world.  
·        
  NK on the other hand feared that SK that with
  American support, would spread capitalism to North Korea. 
·        
  Both
  sides fear that the one side will impose their ideology on the other side.  
·        
  Ideologies
  are deeply rooted in these nations and such differences are hard to
  reconcile. 
·        
  Even
  till today, communist NK continues to have conflict with the capitalist South
  Korea and the United States which it is technically still at war with as the
  nation feels that capitalism threatens its existence as a communist state. | 
| 
Competition over territory  Example: India and China over Aksai Chin and NEFA | 
·        
  Competition over disputed territory. 
·        
  Land
  valued for defence use and national pride. 
·        
  Land is
  a symbol of a nation’s independence and sovereignty 
·        
  A country may lay claim to land that does not
  belong to it currently. 
·        
  The loss of land = a loss of sovereignty No
  country will give away their land cheaply. 
·        
  Land at
  borders could be hard to prove who owns it due to old maps drawn up by
  colonial governments. 
·        
  Maps
  drawn unilaterally by one nation only. 
·        
  Land
  disputed is also at the border which is mountainous and hard to define as to
  where the border starts and where it ends. 
·        
  For example, when the British left India in
  1947, they drew up a map of India without consulting China  
·        
  These mountainous border areas of Aksai Chin
  and the North Eastern Frontier Agency (NEFA) are disputed by India and China
  as India and china have different maps and the area is hard to define.  
·        
  In 1962, China and India fought a brief war
  over their disputed border areas. Till today, the border issue has yet to be
  resolved. | 
| 
Competition over scarce resources 
Example: Competition over fishing areas between Britain and Iceland  | 
·        
  Competition over scarce resources is a cause
  of conflict between nations 
·        
  Resources
  are valuable, scarce and finite. 
·        
  Resources
  have economic value – can be exported for profits/essential for economic
  survival. 
·        
  Resources
  are unequally distributed - Some countries have more and some have less. 
·        
  Sometimes ownership is disputed because it is
  unclear which country scarce resources belong to. Example the Rumalia oil
  field tussle between Iraq and Kuwait. 
·        
  Countries are unwilling to give in to a
  competing nation because of its value. For example, England and Iceland
  competed over fishing rights in Icelandic waters. Overfishing by England
  reduced fish stocks and affected Iceland’s fishing industry which was
  Iceland’s main industry. 
·        
  UN had to intervene. | 
|  | 
Weighing 
·        
  Greater cause of conflict between nations is
  what threatens a nation’s survival the most.  
·        
  Answer: Competition over scarce resources. 
·        
  Countries with different ideologies can still
  live in peace as in the case of Cuba and USA today.  
·        
  Competition of territory can also cause
  tension but at times this territory is not essential for the nation’s
  survival and so the urgency to win control of it is less essential as laying
  claim on scarce resources.  | 
Part 2: Diplomacy and
Deterrence  
A)  
The best way to conduct diplomacy
| 
Factor | 
Explanation  | 
| 
Bilateral diplomacy 
is beneficial and helps nations like Singapore succeed. | 
·        
  Singapore cultivates relations directly with
  another state  
·        
  Through bilateral ties with Japan, USA and
  Germany, Singapore acquired advanced technological
  skills and increased trade with these nations  
·        
  Boosted Singapore’s economy and helped
  Singapore to develop faster. 
·        
  Bilateral relations also promote
  political, economic and cultural ties between neighbouring countries  
·        
  This ensures economic progress and security
  benefits for both nations 
·        
  Good ties between neighbours create a
  stable and peaceful environment for economic growth.  
·        
  For example, Singapore develops good ties with
  Indonesia and Malaysia to ensure that the South East Asian has peace for
  economic growth. 
·        
  Bilateral relations also give nations the
  opportunity to help a friendly neighbour in need.  
·        
  After the Asian Tsunami in 2004, Singapore
  sent humanitarian aid to Indonesia and Thailand.  
·        
  Such actions earned Singapore goodwill,
  respect and trust of its neighbours | 
| 
Regional  
Diplomacy is beneficial and helps nations like Singapore succeed. | 
·        
  Singapore works with nations in the region as
  a group via ASEAN 
Regional Groupings like ASEAN benefit its members in 3 ways: 
(1)    Be
  a platform to resolve differences peacefully between nations ASEAN
  through the ASEAN regional forum. 
·        
  ASEAN in the 1960s, South East Asia was
  unstable with many economic, political and security challenges. 
·        
  ASEAN Regional Forum allows differences to be
  discussed peacefully rather than to resort to war.  
·        
  With stability, there can be economic progress
  in the region that benefits Singapore.  
(2)    Singapore
  gains from the ASEAN Free Trade Agreement  
·        
  It helps Singapore companies and ASEAN
  companies buy and sell within ASEAN without paying taxes – this will raise
  trade between ASEAN nations  
·        
  Increases economic growth.  
(3)    Singapore
  also can negotiate more effectively with larger nations like Russia or India
  as part of ASEAN  
·        
  ASEAN has more political weight and clout.  
·        
  These nations are more willing to
  negotiate with a strong regional grouping like ASEAN than just
  small states like Singapore. | 
| 
International 
Diplomacy is
  beneficial and helps nations like Singapore succeed. | 
Singapore can plug into the world’s network of nations
  for resources and help. 
·        
  For instance, in the 1960s, Singapore gained access to help from international
  experts from the UN.  
·        
  Example: UN sent economic experts such as Dr.
  Albert Winsemius to help Singapore in its economic planning and
  industrialisation. 
Through international
  diplomacy, nations like Singapore can also influence world affairs and decisions and play a useful role
  in the world.  
·        
  Example 1: Singapore played a major part in the
  UN Law of the Sea Conference to decide on the laws that govern territorial
  rights of a country over its waters. 
·        
  Example 2: Singapore served as a non-permanent
  member of the UN Security Council from 2001 to 2002.  
·        
  Example 3: Singapore has been involved in
  UN Peacekeeping missions since
  1989 and by 2005 Singapore had been involved in over 13 peacekeeping
  operations in 11 countries involving 1500 personnel.  
·        
  Singapore viewed as a valuable member of the
  world community.  
·        
  Singapore played key
  roles in maintaining international peace and security  
·        
  Enhanced Singapore’s status as a nation that
  contributes to improving the world and earned the world’s good will.  | 
|  | 
Weighing 
·        
  Best way to conduct diplomacy is through
  developing good bilateral ties.  
·        
  Bilateral ties are the building-block of all good
  regional and international relations.  
·        
  If a nation has constant quarrels with its
  different nations, the regional and international community may not wish to
  offer such a nation help in times of need. | 
B)    What is the best way for Singapore to carry out deterrence?
| 
Factor  | 
Explanation | 
| 
3G Army  
Or 3rd Generation Armed Forces  | 
·        
  The
  3G armed forces uses technology to maximise the defensive capabilities of the
  Singapore Armed Forces  
·        
  Soldiers
  can fight decisively and respond flexibly in war.  
·        
  For
  example, the 3G armed forces, uses information technology to allow it to
  strike at the enemy more accurately as the SAF can see beyond the horizon
  using satellite technology.  
·        
  Surveillance
  and strike systems of the Air Force, Army and Navy are better integrated to
  allow them to strike at the enemy more swiftly, at a distance, and in coordination.
   
·        
  SAF
  soldiers are also better equipped and protected to increase their survival
  rate  
·        
  SAF
  soldiers harder to kill and more of a threat to the enemy forces. For
  instance, the 3G army soldier wears body armour, an improved ballistic helmet
  and even has the ability to shoot around corners.  
·        
  The
  potential enemy will think twice before attacking Singapore as they may
  suffer considerable losses given Singapore’s superior technology.  | 
| 
National Service armed forces – Citizen army  | 
·        
  A
  citizen army through National Service allows Singapore to have enough
  soldiers to defend the country. i.e. Singapore had over 350,000 soldiers in
  2005. 
·        
  A
  large professional army is too costly for Singapore.  
·        
  Hence,
  a well-trained citizen army is a good way to deter aggressors.  
·        
  Our
  citizen soldiers are fit and well-skilled. They undergo 2 years of Full-time
  Training in National Service and up to 10 years of reservist training up to a
  maximum of 40 days a year.  
·        
  Furthermore,
  National Service increase patriotism and all men have a common goal of
  defending Singapore.  
·        
  Our
  large and well-trained citizen army makes it harder for an enemy to defeat
  Singapore and thus this deters an enemy from attacking Singapore.  | 
| 
Coordination between agencies  | 
·        
  Multi-agency
  coordination includes the setting up of the National Security Coordination
  Secretariat (NSCS) to coordinate the work of the various government agencies,
  namely, the Ministry of Defence, the Ministry of Home Affairs and the
  Ministry of Foreign Affairs.  
·        
  The
  NSCS also works together with commercial and private parties to combat any
  major terror threats by sharing information and resources. 
·        
  Such
  close cooperation allows these security forces to pre-empt any terror attack
  or attack from another nation and stop it before it happens.   
·        
  Since
  the chance of successfully attacking Singapore is low, as their attempts to
  attack Singapore will be uncovered, the enemy will abandon its plans and thus
  deterrence has succeed. | 
| 
Working with other nations’ militaries – overseas exercises  | 
·        
  Multi-lateral
  defence agreements between Singapore and other nations like the Five Power
  Defence Arrangement (FPDA) consisting of Singapore, Malaysia, United Kingdom,
  Australia and New Zealand helps Singapore deter aggressors.  
·        
  Enemies
  will face the armed forces of all the other nations should it attack
  Singapore.  
·        
  Makes
  it harder for the enemy to win and increases the cost of attacking
  Singapore.   
·        
  Bilateral
  military agreements like these between Singapore and India and Singapore and
  Australia allows Singapore troops to sharpen their military skills in
  realistic and challenging training areas that cannot be offered in Singapore.
   
·        
  This
  raises the SAF’s operational readiness and makes Singapore more ready to
  defeat any aggressor and so this deters an enemy from attacking.  | 
| 
Local defence industry  | 
·        
  Singapore
  has companies that can build military equipment that is suitable to our needs
  and climate.  
·        
  It
  also means the SAF has a source of weapons and can produce as many at will.  
·        
  Defence
  research by Singapore creates more cost-effective modern technology that
  lowers the operating cost and survival rate of weapons systems while
  enhancing the SAF’s ability to fight. E.g. DSTA upgrades our weapons systems
  to enhance their use and Singapore now builds its own armoured fighting
  vehicles and howitzers that are used by the SAF. 
·        
  Singapore
  is self-reliant in weapons and ammunition. We need not depend on other
  nations to supply us our weapons 
·        
  Our
  ability to defend ourselves could be affected if the foreign nations stopped
  selling us arms. This would impact our ability to defend Singapore but by
  being self-reliant, Singapore. Hence, being self-sufficient is important by
  having our own companies that can build weapons.  | 
| 
Total Defence  | 
·        
  Total
  defence is a concept where all Singaporeans can defend the nation  
·        
  Total
  defence covers military, social, psychological and civil economic defence  
·        
  Singapore
  has the economic power, psychological strength and civil defence know-how and
  social bonds amongst its citizens to face threats from external parties and
  weather a crisis.  
·        
  Enemies
  will find it harder to defeat Singapore because the entire population is
  behind the armed forces and has the skill and resilience to overcome an enemy
  attack.  
·        
  The
  enemy will face an entire nation and not just the SAF.  
·        
  For
  example: In psychological defence, the population is resilient and less
  likely to give-in in to threats. When foreign nations will think twice before
  attacking Singapore as it is harder to defeat Singapore.  
·        
  For
  example: In economic defence, the enemy is deterred because Singapore is
  economically strong and can financially upkeep their armed forces. There is
  full employment as Singaporeans go through re-training and the economy is
  resilient. With a strong economy, Singapore is more united and less likely to
  have internal strife that offers enemies the opportunity to weaken Singapore.
   
·        
  For
  example: Civil Defence refers to the Singaporeans’ ability to save lives
  during an emergency and help bring chaos under control. This means that the
  damage caused by the enemy will be less severe. As Singaporeans know what to
  do in the event of an attack, the enemy cannot maximize casualties, and so is
  deterred. 
·        
  For
  example; Social Defence means that Singaporeans live in harmony. The enemy
  cannot pit one community against another. Foreign nations are less likely to
  try to divide Singaporeans as this strategy will fail and deterrence is
  achieved.  | 
Part 2: Iraq and Kuwait Conflict 
A)   Causes of the Iraq and Kuwait Crisis/ 
Reasons for tension
Reasons for tension
| 
Factor  | 
Explanation  | 
| 
Historical Relationship between Iraq and Kuwait | 
·        
  Kuwait was previously a province of Iraq.   
·        
  Split by the British who used to own both
  territories.  
·        
  Iraq felt Kuwait should be reunited with Iraq.
   
·        
  Iraq had threatened to invade Kuwait in the
  1970s.  
·        
  Shared the same culture, language, traditions
  and history.  
·        
  Poor relations occurred because Iraq believed
  Kuwait was part of it.   | 
| 
Economic demise of Iraq  
Poor economic state of Iraq  | 
·        
  Iraq had a 10-year war with Iran.  
·        
  Iraq suffered serious damage  
·        
  Iraq borrowed money for war and owed nations
  e.g. France, Kuwait. 
·        
  Iraq desperate to repay loans and rebuild
  nation. i.e. Iraq needed $230 billion to rebuild and owed $80 billion 
·        
  Kuwait untouched by war and prosperous 
·        
  Iraq was jealous  
·        
  Iraq wanted Kuwait’s wealth and oil reserves
  to repay debts and rebuild.  
·        
  Control of Kuwait would give Iraq control of
  20% of the world’s oil.  
·        
  Iraq could set higher oil prices and get more
  profits  
·        
  Iraq could solve its economic problems.  | 
| 
Competition over territory – Bubiyan and Warbah / Territorial
  disputes 
Oil is the economic life line of Iraq.  | 
Bubiyan and Warbah 
·        
  Bubiyan and Warbah islands were ceded to
  Kuwait by the British 
·        
  Iraq wanted control of these 2 islands for
  their strategically value  
·        
  These 2 islands guarded the entrance of Iraq’s
  only port Umm Qasr. 
·        
  Umm Qasr gave Iraq access to Persian Gulf to
  export their oil and earn money for rebuilding Iraq.    
·        
  Iraq had asked to lease Bubiyan and Warbah
  islands but was rebuffed by Kuwait.  
·        
  Without permanent control of Bubiyan &
  Warbah islands meant that Iraq would always live under the fear that Kuwait
  could block its only sea-route to export oil to secure its economic survival. 
·        
  The relationship between Iraq and Kuwait was
  strained.  
Rumalia oil fields 
·        
  Iraq and Kuwait had a dispute over the Rumalia
  Oil Field which stood across the 2 nations’ borders. 
·        
  Tensions rose when Iraq accused Kuwait of slant
  drilling to steal oil from the Iraq’s side. 
·        
  Iraq demanded US2.4 billion compensation from
  Kuwait.  
·        
  Kuwait denied this and refused to compensate.  
·        
  Iraq was insulted and felt it could stop
  Kuwait by invading and taking the entire oil field.  | 
| 
Overproduction of oil by Kuwait.  | 
·        
  Kuwait produced large amounts of oil  
·        
  Did not keep to OPEC’s quota  
·        
  Drove down oil price 
·        
  Reduced Iraq’s earnings  
·        
  Oil was Iraq’s main export 
·        
  Iraq needs money from oil to repay debts and
  rebuild nation  
·        
  Iraq accused Kuwait of waging economic war on
  Iraq 
·        
  With Kuwait’s overproduction, oil price fell.  
·        
  A fall of oil price by US$1 meant a loss of
  $1b for Iraq. 
·        
  Iraq wanted Kuwait to restrict its oil
  production and keep to quotas to hold up oil prices. 
·        
  Kuwait refused despite OPEC’s call to do so. 
·        
  Iraq decided to invade Kuwait to stop it from
  flooding the market with pil that drove down prices.  | 
b) Why did Iraq finally decide to invade Kuwait?
2a) Explain
how misreading of US position made Iraq decide 
to
invade Kuwait.[5]
2b)
Explain 2 other reasons why Iraq decided to invade Kuwait.
Which was the key reason? Explain. [10]
Which was the key reason? Explain. [10]
| 
Factor | 
Explanation | 
| 
Misreading of US position | 
·        
  Iraq
  did not want a military confrontation with the US  
·        
  Iraq
  believed US , which was a world superpower, would not interfere  
·        
  This
  belief made Iraq consider invading Kuwait. 
·        
  Without
  the US intervening, Iraq was emboldened to invade Kuwait which was militarily
  weaker.  | 
| 
Saddam’s leadership style /Saddam saw himself as the leader of the
  Arab world. | 
·        
  Saddam’s
  leadership style and ambition led to the invasion of Kuwait. 
·        
  Saddam
  was a Sunni Muslim and believed he was a leader of the Sunni Muslims.  
·        
  Saddam
  wanted to be the Arab world’s rightful leader  
·        
  Invading
  Kuwait would frighten other Arab states and show them his might.  | 
| 
War served as a
  distraction to the Iraqi military and the public from Iraq’s economic problems | 
·        
  Saddam
  feared a possible revolution by the armed forces and Shiite Muslims in Iraq
  if Iraq did not fix its problems(economic)  
·        
  He
  decided to keep the armed forces busy with war. 
·        
  An
  invasion of Kuwait would distract the armed forces and citizens from Iraq’s
  problems  
·        
  Reduced
  the likelihood of a revolution against him. | 
| 
Iraq’s official
  reason  (Propaganda) | 
·        
  Iraq
  claimed that Kuwait’s revolutionaries had asked Iraq to free Kuwait from its
  ruling government.  
·        
  Iraq
  was simply invading Kuwait at the invitation of these Kuwaiti rebels.  | 
c) Reaction of the world to the crisis
| 
Factor | 
Explanation | 
| 
Fear of Iraqi
  dominance by Arab states   | 
·        
  Smaller
  Middle Eastern States feared they would be invaded like Kuwait and lose their
  independence 
·        
  Iraq
  was a very powerful nation in the region.  
·        
  Nations
  in the region were concerned that any action that displeased Iraq may lead to
  an invasion.  | 
| 
Failure of the
  diplomatic efforts.   | 
·        
  Attempts
  to solve the crisis by diplomacy failed.  
·        
  Diplomacy
  was used through negotiations with Kuwait supported by OPEC(Organisation of
  petroleum exporting countries) and the Arab League.  
OPEC negotiations  
·        
  The OPEC
  negotiations were more successful in appeasing Iraq and reduced
  tensions  
·        
  Kuwait
  agreed to raise oil price and Kuwait agreed to lower oil production within
  OPEC limits.  
Arab League negotiations  
·        
  Kuwait’s
  negotiations with Iraq through the Arab League failed.  
·        
  In
  the negotiations on 1 August 1990, Kuwait, with the support the Arab League,
  agreed to discuss the war debt Iraq owed it but Kuwait refused to pay the
  compensation for the oil that Iraq accused Kuwait of stealing through slant
  drilling or to give up any territory. E.g. Bubiyan and Warbah or the Rumaila
  Oil Field.  
·        
  The
  failed negotiations made Iraq decide to abandon the planned 4th August
  meeting with Kuwait and instead invade on 2nd August 1990.  | 
| 
Economic Sanctions against Iraq by UN 
*After the Invasion, UN and USA formed a coalition army to drive Iraqi
  troops out of Kuwait.  
(Operation Desert Storm) | 
·        
  UN imposed economic sanctions against Iraq to
  force it to negotiate rather than invade Kuwait 
·        
  Iraq was unable to gain access to foreign medical
  supplies and other essential goods. 
·        
  This could have forced Iraq into a corner and
  made invasion as attractive option.  
·        
  However, it was Iraq’s overall desperate economic
  situation that made Iraq choose invasion. | 
d) Consequences of the Iraq and Kuwait Conflict
| 
Factor | 
Explanation in
  point form | 
| 
Impact on Kuwait | 
Country’s
  infrastructure destroyed 
·        
  Oil wells and public works destroyed by Iraqi
  troops.  
·        
  600 of Kuwait’s 950 oil wells set on fire by
  Iraq  
·        
  $25 billion of damages  
Suffering and loss
  of lives  
·        
  Over 1000 Kuwaitis killed 
·        
  Others were arrested, tortured by Iraqi troops 
·        
  Kuwaitis treated harshly and forced to leave  
Nation looted  
·        
  Museums looted: Heritage items stolen or
  damaged.  
·        
  Homes taken over by as Iraqi troops and looted 
·        
  Shops and Hospitals: Medical equipment,
  medicine and goods stolen. | 
| 
Impact on Iraq | 
Destruction of
  Iraqi military capability (Sub-factor 1)  
·        
  Before the Gulf War, Iraq was one of the most
  powerful and feared nations in the Middle East.  
·        
  By end of the war,  a third(33%) of Iraq’s 1 million strong
  army was destroyed. 
·        
  Power vacuum was created in the region, as
  Iraq was a not as powerful to counter-balance against the larger Arab states
  like Syria and Iran 
·        
  This was potentially destabilizing. 
·        
  Many Iraqi soldiers died because of the
  superior technology of the US-led forces and their bombing of Iraqi troops. 
·        
  Example: Thousands of Iraq troops were killed
  as they fled Kuwait along the Highway of Death.  
Political
  instability in Iraq (Sub-factor 2)  
·        
  Kurds were the minority in Iraq  
·        
  They wanted an independent state from Iraq. 
·        
  Kurds, encouraged by the US led coalition and
  Saddam’s defeat, started a revolution against Saddam 
·        
  They believed the US would help them overthrow
  Saddam   
·        
  There was no military support from the US-led
  Coalition  
·        
  Saddam dealt with the uprising brutally and
  killed thousands 
·        
  Drove 1 million Kurds became refugees and were
  driven out of Iraq.  
·        
  UN condemned Saddam’s actions and peacekeepers
  were sent to Northern Iraq to protect the Kurds. 
Suffering of Iraqis 
·        
  Iraq was destroyed in war  
·        
  US had bombed the Iraq’s cities and public
  works  
·        
  Damaged Iraq and its ability to provide basic
  necessities like sanitation and water  
·        
  People in Iraq suffered from this.   
·        
  Launch of military attack to free Kuwait of
  Iraqi control – Operation desert storm 
·        
  An international coalition was formed to eject
  Iraq out of Kuwait. 
·        
  Much of Iraq was destroyed during this war and
  many Iraqis were killed in the bombing of Iraq to force Iraq to leave Kuwait. 
·        
  Bombing of Iraq by the coalition forces led to
  the destruction of the infrastructure of the country. Sewage system damaged
  leading to spread of diseases. Water resources polluted leading to more
  illness spreading that are water-borne – sickness and death of its citizens. | 
| 
Regional and international impact | 
Regional Impact on
  Environment  
·        
  Iraq burnt oil well (Air pollution) and pour
  oil(Water pollution) into the Persian Gulf  
·        
  Polluted the air leads to haze and water
  filled with oil slicks  
·        
  Wild-life/marine life killed by pollution e.g.
  Birds and fishes 
·        
  Loss of natural heritage  
·        
  Negative impact on fishery business 
·        
  Polluted air endangers health e.g. lung
  disease increase 
·        
  Tourists and business travellers avoid the
  region  
·        
  Loss of business and tourism dollars  
·        
  Unemployment rises 
International
  Impact 
·        
  Many of the foreign workers who worked in
  Kuwait also left the country 
·        
  Lost their jobs and source of income 
·        
  Affected their families back home. | 
Part 4: Transnational Terrorism 
A)   Impact/Consequences of transnational terrorism
| 
Political Impact  
·        
  Loss of personal privacy  
·        
  Government conducts surveillance activities on
  public  
·        
  Attempt to track terrorists  
·        
  Loss of trust between people and their
  government  
·        
  Increased security at points of entry  
·        
  Citizens may feel
  inconvenienced  
·        
  Citizens’ personal data and
  activities like phone calls may also be tapped  
·        
  Innocent citizens may be arrested or subjected
  to arrest and questioning  
·        
  Increased inconvenience to citizens  
·        
  Fear
  and distrust of the government by the people  | 
Economic impact  
Loss of life and property  
·        
  Many innocent people killed in terror attacks 
·        
  Insurance cost increase. Example: Over $40
  billion loss by insurance companies after 9/11 attacks on New York  
·        
  Businesses affected e.g. airline industry
  decline and US government had to provide support  
·        
  Governments have to provide financial support
  to private companies like airlines  
·        
  Loss of jobs  
·        
  Economy declines  
Tourism affected  
·        
  Example: Bali tourism affected after 2002
  terror attack on Bali with 50% decline in tourists arrivals  
·        
  Economy declines and unemployment rises. 
Governments spend more money
  to improve security.  
·        
  Increased security presence meant more funds
  spent on security measures. E.g. exercises to counter terrorism  
·        
  Public transport disrupted to ensure that
  citizens know what to do if there is a terror attack  
·        
  Example: 12 MRT stations closed for Exercise
  Northstar in Jan 2006 in Singapore.  | 
| 
Social
  Impact 
·        
  Acts of terrorism by members of one community
  can increase suspicion and disharmony between communities  
·        
  Other communities may think that
  everyone in the community where the terrorist come from are terrorists by
  association. 
·        
  Distrust, fear and racial and
  religious tension arises due to this perception   
·        
  Example: After the arrest of Jemaah
  Islamiyah (JI) members in Singapore, non-Malay-Muslims felt uncomfortable
  in the presence of Malay-Muslims since the JI members arrested were Malay
  Muslims. 
·        
  Malay-Muslims feel discriminated as
  they are viewed with suspicion by  other communities 
·        
  Communities can prevent such strain by having
  programs that build social cohesion through inter racial and religious
  interaction e.g. Community Engagement program.  | |
B) Management of/Solutions to Transnational Terrorism
| 
Nurturing an environment that censures terrorism 
·        
  Terrorist ideas are rejected by all members of
  society  
·        
  Firmly and unequivocally reject these ideas of
  hate and violence.  
·        
  Deny terrorists any space in society  
·        
  No chance for these ideas to take root in any
  society  
·        
  The world will collectively be rid of
  terrorists and their ideas  
·        
  Transnational terrorists cannot penetrated any
  nation  
·        
  Terrorists eventually weaken as no new members
   | |
| 
Regional Cooperation  
·        
  Nations at the regional level work together  
·        
  ASEAN Share information on terrorist movements
   
·        
  Do not give 
  terrorists a chance to remain in your country  
·        
  ASEAN nations pledged to cooperate against
  terrorists  
·        
  Terrorism poses a threat to the peace and
  prosperity of ASEAN and direct challenge of ASEAN’s achievements.  
·        
  Example: Singapore provided intelligence
  information with Philippines to arrest JI bomb maker Fathur Rohman Al-Ghozi
  in Jan 2002 who carried out an attack on the Philippines Light Rail System
  which killed 22 people. He was planning to bomb Singapore.  
·        
  Example: 
  In Jan 2007, ASEAN passed laws to enforce cooperation between nations
  in SEA to combat terrorism. 
·        
  ASEAN have joint police work and intelligence
  sharing  
·        
  ASEAN convention on Counter-terrorism 
·        
  Region’s first legally binding anti-terrorism
  accord.  
·        
  Impact of measure: Terrorists have nowhere to
  hide and they can be easier to be arrested.  | 
International cooperation  
·        
  UN resolutions – freeze assets of terrorists,
  deny them travel and safe haven, prevent terrorist recruitment and weapons
  supply, cooperate the share information and criminal prosecution.  
·        
  Terrorists have nowhere to hide and no funds.   
·        
  UN monitors nations adherence to UN
  anti-terror laws using the CTC or Counter-terrorism committee  
·        
  UN Counter Terrorism centre aims to foster
  greater cooperation within UN to develop comprehensive database of counter
  terrorism best practices.  
·        
  Impact: $200 million frozen & through info
  sharing 4000 terrorists arrested.  
·        
  Not fully successful: Ability of terrorists to
  evade security restrictions & able to recruit new members using the
  internet  | 
